Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 4.243568 4.711997 5.212899 5.788803 6.433198 7.132630 7.950143
2026-02-01 3.410383 4.043447 4.768882 5.663519 6.739775 7.996053 9.578404
2026-02-08 2.851279 3.563630 4.426810 5.553903 6.992931 8.776888 11.168776
2026-02-15 2.474655 3.232045 4.193730 5.511416 7.280941 9.590434 12.858237
2026-02-22 2.250401 3.054011 4.116925 5.636319 7.769908 10.684959 15.013392
2026-03-01 2.021221 2.835899 3.952488 5.608933 8.028256 11.470329 16.805627
2026-03-08 1.791414 2.588182 3.715021 5.442511 8.055424 11.909976 18.119807
2026-03-15 1.631582 2.421878 3.572470 5.391057 8.233010 12.570080 19.815979
2026-03-22 1.541019 2.347218 3.553968 5.518024 8.685334 13.680136 22.325074
2026-03-29 1.462016 2.281260 3.539821 5.645447 9.143370 14.833778 25.019775
2026-04-05 1.368712 2.183559 3.465678 5.666055 9.423399 15.715319 27.338016
2026-04-12 1.268126 2.064933 3.346719 5.599133 9.545166 16.334114 29.250507
2026-04-19 1.169882 1.944111 3.217313 5.508074 9.625626 16.904740 31.172233
2026-04-26 1.080686 1.831373 3.092334 5.413414 9.690569 17.454250 33.120396
2026-05-03 1.000463 1.727417 2.973558 5.318126 9.743285 17.983151 35.085388
2026-05-10 0.937448 1.648396 2.891509 5.281079 9.898552 18.715386 37.532427
2026-05-17 0.903757 1.618889 2.894825 5.401800 10.364301 20.087853 41.445263
2026-05-24 0.852127 1.552397 2.825045 5.376165 10.538928 20.898122 44.263865
2026-05-31 0.787345 1.456476 2.693012 5.217304 10.429737 21.118177 45.820665
2026-06-07 0.742206 1.394298 2.619833 5.168198 10.538973 21.798003 48.473658
2026-06-14 0.721043 1.376620 2.630718 5.289591 11.015490 23.302941 53.193748
2026-06-21 0.701110 1.359764 2.641648 5.411394 11.503288 24.879425 58.275015
2026-06-28 0.671318 1.321028 2.605834 5.431094 11.768262 25.983715 62.347985